I spent quite a lot of time reading those 31 pages written so far and I was wondering how the market will look like in 3 days. Some clients are clearly worried, some says that it's easy to trace IPs or text messages, some SP consider to move to Australia, but the majority of this community seems to be quite confident that no major changes will happen, especially because LE do not want and do not have the means to enforce the new law; therefore, we should not worry about the future.
Probably, the new scene will be a combinaison of various evolutions and factors which will depend on time, cities, SPs and client behaviours. This is how I see things in the future:
- Time: "exemplary" arrests or fines will certainly happen at the beginning in somes cities, probably not Vancouver, and may be very detrimental to the market because the media will talk about it, paranoia will spread, and both clients and SP will reduce their activity. In any case, the first days and weeks after December 6th may see a drop in the demand and even offer, as people will want to see what happens... but biology and budget needs will prevail and the activity will start again. Most forum members beleive the "dust will settle" and things will ge back to normal after a while.
Place: there are going to be differences beetween Calgary and Edmonton, between Vancouver and other greater Vancouver cities. Will this imply that SP will move to Vancouver as a safe heaven? At some point, certainly, depending on the intensity of the RCMP action elswhere. The meetings in condos are probably going to increase, as they are considered as more discreet places to operate.
- SPs: The ones who will suffer the most are the occasional/short term (especially asian) types of SP who have no reputation. Conversally, well-known and reviewed SPs will certainly benefit from a shift of the demand, as they will be considered as more reliable. The donations of occasional SPs may drop but they are pretty low already so probably not that much.
- Forum contributions and websites: Despite the fact that nothing prevents a SP from offering sexual service on her own and even if a contribution on a forum like this one may be a pure fantasy and does not prove that an actual meeting has happened, it seems quite obvious that both ads, website pages and reviews will be drafted in a more cautious way ("massage", "companionship", etc.) ; it is my understanding that perb itself has made specific requests in the same vein even if it's hosted abroad and cannot be shut down easily. Phone conversations are going to be the rule more than the exception and text messages or emails will not mention details. Some will be disapointed that reviews will be vague, but we will know at least whether a SP corresponds to the picture, offers good service...