luckydog71 said:
We haven’t had a good political discussion in a while so let’s try this one.
We are seeing a number of events in the Middle East that one would have to conclude are interrelated. To suggest these are random events that just happened to occur at the same time would equate to someone winning the lottery twice on the same day.
The question is – Are these events positive or negative? I guess you could also conclude they are irrelevant. But if that is your conclusion I suggest you are irrelevant.
Afghanistan had an election.
Iraq had an election and is now starting to write its constitution
Israel is pulling out of Palestine
Lebanon looks like it may take back control of it’s own country from Syria
Saudi Arabia is talking about elections.
Libya is dismantling it’s weapons.
Will a shift to democracy in the Middle East mean a safer world for us all to live in? I think it will.
My spin on these events is they were lined up and ready to happen, but it was George W who pushed over the first dominos in Afghanistan and Iraq, and then the other dominos are starting to fall.
There are still troubling areas like Russia agreeing to sell uranium to Iran.
Iran still wanting to build WMD.
North Korea admitting they have WMD.
France and Germany siding with the US in condemning Iran. Can you beleive that?
Could anyone have predicted this as a result even 6 months ago?
If one were to credit George W. Bush for these events that would be as bad as creditting Ronald Reagan for the end of the Cold War. Something superficial at best.
Our western centric views lead to always assume that democracy is the best way to have a government. Added to that we have a great deal of trouble fathoming a government of anyother type and to replace it with something democratic is unquestionably the right thing to do.
Such an idea is all too much like the attitudes towards colonialism, say in the 1800's. That it was alright to send in an invading army to conquer a certain people and impose a system of government on them. Afterall these people were just heathens and so an imperial power was obviously doing the right thing. What's the difference between that and what's going on the world today? IMHO, not a whole hell of a lot.
Let's remember that the Taliban were willing to turn over Osama bin Laden to the US, but Afghanistan was still invaded. Perhaps remarkably the country has been conquered and when the last time that happened only history knows. The British tried and failed and more recently the Soviets tried and failed.
However a country immersed in civil war since 1979 was probably ripe for the picking. Added to that despite what we in the West think of the Taliban, the country was very likely more stable under their rule than it had been since the 1970's.
Throw ontop of that is just who did most of the ground fighting? The Northern Alliance which was the remanants of the Mujahadeen (sp?) that took over the country after defeating the Soviets. And just how did these rebels finane themselves? Illegal drugs.
As for Iraq, do remember this country and its imfamous dictator were very much in favour with the Republican crowd in the 1980's. Care to enlighten the Lounge as when the worst of this dictator's crimes were committed?
One thing that always fascinates me is how quick the Republican crowd chants things like Saddam Hussein gassed his own people. Easy to say but in the end something dreadfully shallow. Throw in the time line for starters. This henious crime was committed when Saddam was being actively supported by the Reagan/Bush administrations. Furthermore the US government convienently turned a blind eye to the atrocity. In fact US economic assistance to Iraq was increased following the gas attacks.
And history shows us that while the relations between the US and Iraq may have cooled a little following the end of the Iran-Iraq war, the two countries were still on pretty terms. In a pissin' match between two Middle East friends of the US, Iraq and Kuwait, guess who was all too happy to keep its nose of things? Yup, the US. So much so that even in the first days following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, the US was still happy to stay out of the Middle East conflict.
Following the terrorist attacks of Sept 11/01 (and let's not forget the "terrorist attacks" of Sept 11/73) the White House WAS portraying the idea that Saddam Hussein had role in the attacks. Indeed the White House said it had rock solid evidence that Iraq still possessed weapons of mass destruction. We know now that these are HUGE LIES. But these HUGE LIES were used as the pretext for war, an aggressive war.
Ok Iraq had an election. So what? The country remains unstable with terrorist attacks happening on a daily basis.
Some people have argued that Iraq is not a real country and so the various peoples that make up Iraqis should be permitted to go their own way. One being of course the Kurds. If that is the case, then it must just right to reconnect a lost province to Iraq, namely Kuwait.
Israel pulling out of Palestine, but only to an extent. Quite frankly this is a conflict that has gone on for so long that it no longer matters who struck the first blow. What is needed is less retaliation and more reconciliation. Israel still remains occupying fair chunks of Palestinian territory. Ariel Sharon's government has made something of an about face,but keep in mind just what party now supports his government? Sharon's Likud Party lost the support of the more extremist parties and is now in coalition with the left-leaning Labour Party.
Saudia Arabia had municipal elections. Again so what? Only men voted. The country is ruled by a despotic family with absolute power. The country is destabilizing because of growing opposition to the Saud family and the opposition ain't democratic.
And there is pressure on Iran regarding its nuclear program. I say so what? I don't like the profilieration of nukes, but if one country can arm itself to the teeth with all sorts of WMD's including a HUGE arsenal of nukes, then why can't another country feel it should have something to defend itself? More so when this country has used WMD's in the past, namely atomic weapons in August, 1945, chemical weapons in the Vietnam War, and daisy cutter bombs in Afghanistan.
As for North Korea, only the Repubican crowd would take Kim Il Sing or what ever the guy's name is, at his word. I'm saying NK does or does not have nukes. I'm saying there is zip to show clearly either way.
Libya? Some one sure misses the loads of assistance he once got from the former USSR. Ol'Momar probably feels a little uncomfortable as is looking to get back no the world stage. The guy is a prestige kick.
Well that's enough for now. Later.