Excerpt from the HSTinBC.ca website:
The Independent Panel on the HST reported on the implications of returning to the PST+GST on the provincial budget in its report released May 4, 2011.
The following summary of their findings has been updated to reflect the changes that will result in a 10 per cent HST by 2014:
* Returning to the PST+GST will take 18-24 months. That includes the time it will take to re-write federal-provincial tax laws and regulations and re-hiring 300 staff needed to administer the PST.
* Under the agreement with the federal government the Province will likely have to repay the $1.6 billion dollars in transitional funding it received from the Federal Government
* If the Province borrows the money needed to repay the $1.6 billion, it would cost $85 million in interest payment annually based on today’s interest rates.
* It will cost $15 million to $20 million in onetime costs to rebuild the provincial tax office.
* It will cost the government $35 million annually to administer the PST.
* If the HST stayed at 12 per cent it would raise about $852 million in 2013/2014 and $973 million in 2014/15 more than PST + GST.
* The Government will lower the HST by 2 points, to 10 per cent by 2014. As a result the HST will, after 2014, raise less revenue for government over short period of time than the higher 12 per cent PST + GST tax rate would have.
* Under both the PST + GST the government has committed to eliminating the deficit by 2014.
* If the referendum results in going back to PST + GST, the provincial budget would see a net revenue loss of $531 million in the first year and $645 million in the second year of returning to the PST + GST once all costs and savings are accounted for.
The following chart summarizes the short term budget implications of the HST and the PST+GST:
Return to PST + GST Retain HST
2011/12 $2,566 billion deficit $769 million deficit
2012/13 $543 million deficit $434 million deficit
2013/14 $356 million deficit $64 million deficit
2014/15 $405 million surplus $53 million surplus