https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com...s-than-parent-strain/articleshow/82348011.cms
If that number is correct, then it's no wonder that India's daily case numbers look like a rocket taking off.
Epidemiologists use the R-nought (the reproductive rate) to figure out how infectious a virus is. So if it's 1, it means that 1 person can spread to another person. Smallpox runs around 3. R-0 of C19 locally is estimated to be less than 1.
So this means 1 ==> 2 ===> 4 ===> 8 ===> 16 (16 people infected)
If it's 10, 1 ===> 10 ===> 100 ===> 1000 ===> 10,000 (10,000 people infected)
A fatality rate of 0.65% doesn't amount to much if 16 people were infected, but 10,000 people infected means .0065 x 10,000 = 65.
If that number is correct, then it's no wonder that India's daily case numbers look like a rocket taking off.
Epidemiologists use the R-nought (the reproductive rate) to figure out how infectious a virus is. So if it's 1, it means that 1 person can spread to another person. Smallpox runs around 3. R-0 of C19 locally is estimated to be less than 1.
So this means 1 ==> 2 ===> 4 ===> 8 ===> 16 (16 people infected)
If it's 10, 1 ===> 10 ===> 100 ===> 1000 ===> 10,000 (10,000 people infected)
A fatality rate of 0.65% doesn't amount to much if 16 people were infected, but 10,000 people infected means .0065 x 10,000 = 65.
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