Lenny, you can rationalize your thoughts to win your argument in your mind, but the facts remain. The numbers are there right in front of you. Even a number like 4.3 percent is HUGE. Almost one in twenty.
The 4.3% is about 1 in 23. How is that "huge".
How "huge" is this re risk for an act of BB sex with a random SP? If the rate of infection is 1 in 2000 BB sex acts with an HIV infected person and 1 in 23 you fuck BB have the disease, that means your chances of being infected from banging a lady BB is 1 in 46,000 lays. That's a different partner every day for about 126 years. Odds are high that i'd die of other causes before i ever caught HIV.
"Estimated per-act risk for acquisition of HIV by exposure route"
"Estimated infections per 10,000 exposures to an infected source"
"Insertive penile-vaginal intercourse...5 (.05%)"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV#Transmission
If you BBed once a month, the chances of getting HIV this way would be once every 1,379,700 fucks, or 3,780 years. Now we are talking "huge". Get her tested, find her HIV negative, and your safety level just went up about 10x. That would make those huge numbers really, really "huge". Compare that to lifetime [78 years] odds of dying:
1. in a car accident...1 in 83
2. in a plane crash... 1 in 5000
3. from murder....1 in 210
4. walking across street...1 in 625
5. from drowning...1 in 1100
6. from falling...1 in 210
7. from lightning...1 in 80,000
http://reason.com/archives/2006/08/11/dont-be-terrorized
And HIV doesn't even kill you.
"Odds of fatally slipping in bath or shower: 2,232 to 1
"Odds of being the victim of serious crime in your lifetime: 20 to 1
Fire or smoke...1 in 1116
Suicide...1 in 121
Electrocution...1 in 5000
Cancer...1 in 7
100's of other possibilities...
http://www.funny2.com/odds.htm
http://www.blog.joelx.com/odds-chances-of-dying/877/
http://www.flyertalk.com/forum/trav...s-dying-plane-crash-your-lifetime-flying.html
http://www.livescience.com/3780-odds-dying.html
Do you like to play Russian Roulette? OH ya I forgot, HIV isn't so bad
The odds of getting killed from playing RR one time is 1 in 6. Play it once everyday for a month and you have a very high probability of being dead. Clearly it is nothing like HIV, which if contracted may not even kill you, let alone instantly. Even if it does it could easily take decades.
"Russian roulette is a potentially lethal game of chance in which participants place a single round in a revolver, spin the cylinder, place the muzzle against their head and pull the trigger."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_roulette
"... In the USA though, newly diagnosed patients have a life expectancy only a few months shorter than people without HIV."
and you don't really care if you die anyway, because getting old sucks.
Or maybe i "care", but i'm not quite so HIV-phobic and death-o-phobic as some folk. I am mindful that in a relatively short time we will all get to the next incarnation or eternity. "Life is a sexually transmitted disease and the mortality rate is one hundred percent."
Getting old may or may not "suck". That is, if you you even get that far, which is far from guaranteed. If you get HIV you will likely still get there anyway.
"Odds that an American adult does not want to live to age 120 under any circumstances: 3 to 2"
http://www.funny2.com/odds.htm
But if condom sex works for you, and you find the condom intimate, romantic, spontaneous, sexy, sensual, a turn on, never a hindrance to getting it up or the enjoyment of love making, then all the power to ya, pal. OTOH, if you have found it just the opposite, and sex is by far the greatest thing that makes you want to live, you might feel differently. BTW i see you like BBBJs. Why. Because the look, experience and feeling is far better.
Human beings often do risky things if they feel the potential reward is sufficient to warrant it. Car driving is dangerous, often puts the driver and others at unnecessary risk, and pollutes the atmosphere, but many millions of people do it since they think it improves their quality of life.
Of course enjoying the quality of life that BB sex gives could backfire on someone if they get HIV, if it led to some unpleasant side effects from HIV drugs, if one chose to take them. OTOH he might still enjoy BB sex for many more years to come, albeit not with healthy HIV-N individuals.
Some peeps like to scrimp, suffer, sacrifice and save for the future expectation of heaven, er, old age retirement. Others prefer the attitude of spend, travel, eat, drink & fuck to their hearts content, now, while they're still relatively young, healthy enough, and more attractive looking to enjoy it, realizing that any day could be sayanora. I think BB sex with Thai hookers might come under the latter POV.
BTW, how do you think the 4.3% in the CSEs became infected with HIV??
All of the usual ways. Mostly from their Thai mates.
Maybe 95% of working girls in LOS have a Thai SO/BF. Relative to the Western world, probably a much larger percentage of these guys practice BB sex with their partners as well as with other ladies and/or men in and/or out of prostitution. Promiscuity is much more common & accepted there, such as in having giks and/or mia noi. Working girls also sometimes frequent places of sin where they look for young bi "pay for gay" guys to do the bad thing with. Foreign pooners, OTOH, are more likely to use a condom, be circumcised [lower risk factor for HIV] and immune to HIV than the TGs Thai lovers.
Yes of course some will BB even though they are not supposed to. But the fact is, a lot less of these people contracted HIV BECAUSE THEY WERE MANDATED TO USE CONDOMS. The rules saved 14.7 % of these sex workers from contracting the virus.
Well, if they had stricter "rules" worldwide, like no sex except between a husband or wife, on pain of death, then we wouldn't have to worry about there being many infections of STDS or HIV, would we? And millions wouldn't have died from HIV. Is that the kind of world you want.
Of course condom use is reputed to have reduced or slowed the plaque of HIV. But condoms are merely one of several ways to practice safer sex. If you get your Thai SP tested negative and BB her, you may be nearly as safe or safer than the guy who is screwing them with an often failing rubber and has no idea of their health status.
AND IT ALSO SAVED ALL THE CUSTOMERS OF THOSE 14.7% FROM POSSIBLY CONTRACTING HIV. (and all the sex-workers and non-sex workers they would have taken the virus home to infect)
Then maybe stop having sex, as that will "save" even more, since condoms break, slip off, etc, and then it's the same as having barebacksex. So you condom advocates are having BB sex too. And your type of BB sex also leads to people getting HIV. So even more would be "saved" if you condom users quit having sex, since that often results in bare sex and HIV.
"Hand out all the condoms you want, make sure they are used, and there will still be an epidemic of STDs and unplanned pregnancy. I'm old enough to recall when the pill came out. I was just a child, but I remember the stir. Reliable birth control, for the 1st time!! Condoms have been around for centuries, in one form or another. They have never been reliable...a user might have an 85% protection rate against HIV, or pregnancy. In the real world, where the users are drunk, or stoned, it's dark, and he is rushing...are you getting the picture?"
So, again, even more would have been "saved" if you all practiced abstinence or auto-eroticism. Why don't you go do that? If everyone did there would have been no HIV epidemic or millions dying of it, no STDs of any kind. Also no human race.
BTW, those studies merely give estimates based on potentially fallible methods done years ago. Even if believed blindly that doesn't discount the merits of "safe BB sex". Even many condom touting sites say that BB sex w/i a monogamous relationship of healthy individuals is fine, implying it's on the same level as using condoms. Why is that? It's because you "know" the person. I see no reason why a guy couldn't "know" 2,3,5, 10, 20 ladies. Why restrict yourself to the boredom of BBing just one lady? Feel free to get to "know" many, which means by far the the most important piece of info is not learning things like her favorite flavour of ice cream or what she drank at the bar, but her STI history.
Moreover, I'm not sure how much trust should be put in stats from a study by a government whose name is synonymous with corruption, or associated with NGO's and other groups who may have self serving interests. The gist of the study says, 'we have made great progress in areas we've been working in, but have discovered a grave need for funds to help those who have been neglected, FLs and MSM SPs'. Sure.