True this is just my opinion but I'll come back to this post in six months and eat my words if need be
The problem with what you said is I could easily point to people saying the exact same thing six months ago. And a year ago. And two years ago.
I bought my second home - I mean I sold my original place, bought a new place - about 2 years ago on a big upswing in the Vancouver marketplace. All my friends said I had the worst timing. That the bubble was about to burst, I bought at peak, etc. Ironically I got the same speil from my Toronto friends when I bought my first home about 7 years ago. I sold my first one for a near 100% profit on the price I paid, including the mortgage costs. Now my new place is valued at around 25% more than I paid for it 2 years ago (I bought in an up and coming area in Vancouver).
Anyway I am off track here. What you typed? I could point you to places like what would dyler durden do, or to various gold and silver investment sites where people wrote almost exactly what you did, including the six month thing, a year ago, two years ago, five years ago.
2008 was the only time these people got it sort of right. And even then, smart money recovered QUICKLY.